Keçiörengücü 2-3 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.96
1/2
9%
31.0
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.54
X/2
13%
5.29
X/X
9%
4.21
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.72
2/X
10%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.14/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.10
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
17.1 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.53 xG 2.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
282 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.04.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-2 HT 1-2 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
04.11.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 2-3 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
2-3
AWAY Çorum FK
2.21 xG 0.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 375
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK nicked a narrow win over Keçiörengücü 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Çorum FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 46% of the ball to Çorum FK's 54%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.21 to 0.95 — on chances, Keçiörengücü could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Keçiörengücü and 2.00 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Çorum FK?

Keçiörengücü 2-3 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 35%, draw 29%, Çorum FK 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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