Adanaspor 0-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 31% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.23
1/2
6%
24.0
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
8%
9.39
X/2
15%
4.09
X/X
12%
4.86
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.25
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.13/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.93
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
16.2 Crosses 20.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adanaspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.07 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
287 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
24.12.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-3 HT 2-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
07.10.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
27.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
02.10.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-5 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
01.05.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adanaspor
0-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.08 xG 0.60
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
385 Passes 250
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adanaspor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor nicked a narrow win over Adanaspor 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bandırmaspor as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Adanaspor had 58% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 42%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.08 to 0.60 — the balance of chances actually favoured Adanaspor.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adanaspor and 2.00 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Adanaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Adanaspor 0-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adanaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Adanaspor 23%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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