Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kocaelispor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Kocaelispor
T1L
5-1
HT 4-0
Fatih Karagümrük
T1L
Kocaelispor 2-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Kocaelispor edged past Fatih Karagümrük 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Kocaelispor had 63% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 37%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Kocaelispor and 0.50 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Kocaelispor 2-1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 43%, draw 26%, Fatih Karagümrük 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor) — while BTTS No went the other way.