Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 31% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
22%
4.29
X/2
10%
7.74
X/X
16%
4.86
2/1
5%
24.0
2/2
12%
5.81
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
Crosses 18.1
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esenler Erokspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2022 Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-1
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
2.23 xG 1.08
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
528 Passes 211
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 11
34 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor and Şanlıurfaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Esenler Erokspor at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 68% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 32%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.23 to 1.08.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 45%, draw 27%, Şanlıurfaspor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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