İstanbulspor 5-0 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

İstanbulspor
5-0 HT 2-0
Gençlerbirliği
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

İstanbulspor vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.16
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.97
X/2
14%
6.45
X/X
8%
4.46
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.73
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Gençlerbirliği — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.48/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.23
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.6 Crosses 16.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

İstanbulspor vs Gençlerbirliği Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.93 xG 1.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.11.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 2-1 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
02.04.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
31.10.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-2 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
20.04.2019 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
24.11.2018 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
17.04.2005 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL

İstanbulspor 5-0 Gençlerbirliği — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
5-0
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.79 xG 0.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
303 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 8
10 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor cruised past Gençlerbirliği 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 44% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 56%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.79 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.00 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

İstanbulspor 5-0 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 41%, draw 25%, Gençlerbirliği 34%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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