Fenerbahçe vs Lyon Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Champions League, 18 Aug 2026

Fenerbahçe
vs
Lyon
📅18/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
Champions League – 2026/2027

Fenerbahçe vs Lyon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
🔒
Unlock the Analysis Engine One clear DECISION per match — recommended pick, stake and edge confidence. Create a free account and the whole board opens: every market, every match, no limits. Every finished match is free to review.

Fenerbahçe v Lyon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
🔒
Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
Register to Unlock

Fenerbahçe vs Lyon Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Lyon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.05 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
281 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
23.01.2025 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon AVL
03.11.2004 Lyon Lyon 4-2 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe ŞMP
19.10.2004 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-3 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon ŞMP
COMMENT Fenerbahçe vs Lyon
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Fenerbahçe's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lyon lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fenerbahçe and 2.33 for Lyon.

When do Fenerbahçe and Lyon play?

Fenerbahçe play Lyon in the Champions League on 18/08/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?

Our model's prediction for Fenerbahçe vs Lyon is a Fenerbahçe win at about 47% probability, priced 2.0 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Fenerbahçe 47%, draw 24%, Lyon 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
18 Aug 2026
22:00 Levski Sofia vs AEK Atina Analysis →
22:00 Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking Analysis →