Fenerbahçe 0-0 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.51
Over
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
26%
5.22
2-3
39%
1.97
4-5
24%
2.59
6+
11%
6.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.68
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
11.85
X/1
11%
5.28
X/2
9%
7.63
X/X
11%
5.79
2/1
5%
20.8
2/2
17%
4.75
2/X
9%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.0pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon The Market 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.67/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.61
-48% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +84% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
21.7 Crosses 13.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lyon
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
03.11.2004 Lyon Lyon 4-2 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe ŞMP
19.10.2004 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-3 HT 0-0 Lyon Lyon ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
0-0
AWAY Lyon
1.05 xG 0.80
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
281 Passes 396
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe and Lyon played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 44% of the ball to Lyon's 56%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.05 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lyon led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fenerbahçe and 3.50 for Lyon.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?

Fenerbahçe 0-0 Lyon in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 39%, draw 28%, Lyon 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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