Karabağ vs FCSB Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Karabağ v FCSB — Team-Based Signals
Karabağ 2-3 FCSB — Actual Match Statistics
FCSB squeezed past Karabağ 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Karabağ at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Karabağ had 64% of the ball to FCSB's 36%, shots finished 9-10.
What was the final score of Karabağ vs FCSB?
Karabağ 2-3 FCSB in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Karabağ vs FCSB?
Before kick-off our model rated a Karabağ win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Karabağ 41%, draw 26%, FCSB 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karabağ), Under 2.5 went the other way.