Porto vs Olympiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto v Olympiakos — Team-Based Signals
Porto vs Olympiakos Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Porto 0-1 Olympiakos — Actual Match Statistics
Olympiakos squeezed past Porto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Porto at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Porto had 58% of the ball to Olympiakos's 42%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.14 to 0.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Porto.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Porto had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Porto and 0.00 for Olympiakos.
What was the final score of Porto vs Olympiakos?
Porto 0-1 Olympiakos in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto vs Olympiakos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Porto 49%, draw 25%, Olympiakos 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Porto) went the other way.