Viktoria Plzen 2-0 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jan 2025

Viktoria Plzen
2-0 HT 2-0
Anderlecht
📅23/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
UEFA Europa League – 2024/2025

Viktoria Plzen vs Anderlecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.71
Over
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.77
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5 ✗
23%
3.95
6+
11%
18.4
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.95 — our 23% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.52
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
20%
4.39
X/2
6%
8.33
X/X
15%
4.29
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
10%
6.8
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viktoria Plzen v Anderlecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht The Market 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
0.86/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.10
-77% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
25.4 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Viktoria Plzen 2-0 Anderlecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
2-0
AWAY Anderlecht
1.67 xG 0.43
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
161 Passes 514
62% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen got the better of Anderlecht 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 30% of the ball to Anderlecht's 70%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.67 to 0.43.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Anderlecht?

Viktoria Plzen 2-0 Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 47%, draw 29%, Anderlecht 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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