Hoffenheim 2-3 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.51
Over
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
26%
5.34
2-3
38%
1.99
4-5
24%
2.58
6+
12%
6.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.12
1/2
10%
21.7
1/X
8%
11.85
X/1
12%
6.99
X/2
8%
5.71
X/X
12%
5.69
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
18%
3.0
2/X
6%
11.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.5pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham The Market 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.35/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.27
+52% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 83%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
25.1 Crosses 21.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim
2-3
AWAY Tottenham
2.55 xG 1.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
469 Passes 387
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
34 Box Touches 27
41 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham squeezed past Hoffenheim 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Tottenham made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hoffenheim had 56% of the ball to Tottenham's 44%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.55 to 1.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hoffenheim.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim vs Tottenham?

Hoffenheim 2-3 Tottenham in the UEFA Europa League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim 38%, draw 27%, Tottenham 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoffenheim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoffenheim) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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