Estrela U23 0-3 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Aug 2026

📅18/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.78
Over
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.76
No
38%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
48%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
31%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
53%
+9.0pp
38%
BTTS No
47%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 The Market 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.48/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +53%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
REVIEW Estrela U23 vs Leixoes U23
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leixoes U23 overpowered Estrela U23 3-0 on their travels. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Leixoes U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Estrela U23 vs Leixoes U23 Result & Final Score

Estrela U23 0-3 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Estrela U23 vs Leixoes U23 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 26%, draw 30%, Leixoes U23 43%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leixoes U23), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leixoes U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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