Penafiel U23 2-2 Maritimo U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 18 Aug 2026

📅18/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.07
Over
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.54
No
47%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penafiel U23 The Market 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo U23 The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
REVIEW Penafiel U23 vs Maritimo U23
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Penafiel U23 and Maritimo U23 finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

A draw from a 40% / 29% / 31% read is the model being honest — some games really are too close to call.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 53% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.54, roughly 65%.

Penafiel U23 vs Maritimo U23 Result & Final Score

Penafiel U23 2-2 Maritimo U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 18/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Penafiel U23 vs Maritimo U23 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Penafiel U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Penafiel U23 40%, draw 29%, Maritimo U23 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Penafiel U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penafiel U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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