Varnsdorf 0-3 Chrudim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chrudim EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.96/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.40
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Chrudim
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
17.04.2024 Chrudim Chrudim 1-1 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
17.09.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-3 HT 1-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
20.05.2023 Chrudim Chrudim 3-2 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
30.10.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-2 HT 1-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
17.04.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-2 HT 0-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
0-3
AWAY Chrudim
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Chrudim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrudim swept aside Varnsdorf 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Varnsdorf at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 52% of the ball to Chrudim's 48%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chrudim led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Varnsdorf and 1.83 for Chrudim.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Chrudim?

Varnsdorf 0-3 Chrudim in the Czech Republic - FNL on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Chrudim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 47%, draw 25%, Chrudim 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Varnsdorf), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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