GAIS 0-0 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 18 Sep 2024

GAIS
0-0 HT 0-0
Malmö FF
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

GAIS vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.68
No
41%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
6.86
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
15%
9.43
X/2
21%
4.19
X/X
9%
5.31
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.21
2/X
6%
13.75
Value flag · X/1 at 9.43 — our 15% vs market 7.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.3pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

GAIS v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.86/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.26
+61% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.3
– Crosses 22.5
– Yellow Cards 1.9

GAIS vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.53 xG 1.23
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
218 Passes 671
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
19 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.05.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
20.02.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-1 HT 4-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
01.03.2021 GAIS GAIS 1-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
23.07.2012 GAIS GAIS 2-3 HT 2-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
16.07.2012 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 2-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
20.08.2011 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ

GAIS 0-0 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
0-0
AWAY Malmö FF
1.19 xG 0.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
334 Passes 553
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS and Malmö FF fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GAIS had 39% of the ball to Malmö FF's 61%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.19 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for GAIS and 2.17 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Malmö FF?

GAIS 0-0 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split GAIS 29%, draw 21%, Malmö FF 50%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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