Lausanne Sports 1-2 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 Sep 2024

Lausanne Sports
1-2 HT 0-1
Lugano
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Lausanne Sports vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.06
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
10%
5.15
X/2
11%
6.52
X/X
13%
5.07
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
17%
4.25
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lausanne Sports v Lugano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.57/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.44
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
17.4 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lausanne Sports vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lugano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.75 xG 1.44
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
04.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-4 HT 0-2 Lugano Lugano İSVK
27.09.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
18.04.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 4-1 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.03.2022 Lugano Lugano 3-1 HT 2-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV

Lausanne Sports 1-2 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
1-2
AWAY Lugano
0.68 xG 1.36
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
248 Passes 507
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano nicked a narrow win over Lausanne Sports 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Lugano found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 37% of the ball to Lugano's 63%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.68 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lausanne Sports and 2.17 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Lugano?

Lausanne Sports 1-2 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 39%, draw 25%, Lugano 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lausanne Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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