Lugano 2-0 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

Lugano
2-0 HT 2-0
Lausanne Sports
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2023/2024

Lugano vs Lausanne Sports Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.6
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
16%
4.53
X/2
14%
7.46
X/X
13%
5.3
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
9%
5.19
2/X
5%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugano v Lausanne Sports — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.47/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.37
-6% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.5 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Lugano vs Lausanne Sports Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.53 xG 0.95
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
383 Passes 346
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-4 HT 0-2 Lugano Lugano İSVK
27.09.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
18.04.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 4-1 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.03.2022 Lugano Lugano 3-1 HT 2-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
07.11.2021 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-2 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV

Lugano 2-0 Lausanne Sports — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
2-0
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.54 xG 0.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
374 Passes 315
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 7
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugano saw off Lausanne Sports 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lugano as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lugano had 53% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 47%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 1.54 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lugano and 1.50 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Lausanne Sports?

Lugano 2-0 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lugano 47%, draw 25%, Lausanne Sports 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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