Yverdon 3-0 Stade Ouchy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
16%
4.54
X/2
13%
7.37
X/X
12%
5.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.6
2/2
9%
5.22
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Ouchy EU Bookmakers 30%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.67
+71% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
Crosses 12.8
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Stade Ouchy
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 Passes 296
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.12.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 0-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV
28.09.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 1-1 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
19.05.2023 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 4-1 HT 2-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
03.02.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
19.11.2022 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy 5-0 HT 2-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
15.07.2022 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 1-1 Stade Ouchy Stade Ouchy İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
3-0
AWAY Stade Ouchy
2.84 xG 0.37
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
213 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Stade Ouchy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon swept aside Stade Ouchy 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yverdon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Yverdon had 39% of the ball to Stade Ouchy's 61%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 2.84 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yverdon had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yverdon and 2.00 for Stade Ouchy.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Stade Ouchy?

Yverdon 3-0 Stade Ouchy in the Switzerland - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Stade Ouchy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 47%, draw 25%, Stade Ouchy 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yverdon), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yverdon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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