ATK Mohun Bagan 0-0 Ravshan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.12 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.6pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ravshan EU Bookmakers 28%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+98% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
0-0
AWAY Ravshan
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs Ravshan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan and Ravshan fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 53% of the ball to Ravshan's 47%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs Ravshan?

ATK Mohun Bagan 0-0 Ravshan in the AFCŞL2 on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs Ravshan?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 39%, draw 31%, Ravshan 30%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Over 2.5
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