Khalidiya 2-3 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.21
6+ Goals
8%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
2-3
AWAY Al Taawon
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon edged past Khalidiya 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Taawon as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khalidiya had 49% of the ball to Al Taawon's 51%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Al Taawon?

Khalidiya 2-3 Al Taawon in the AFCŞL2 on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Taawon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 25%, draw 26%, Al Taawon 49%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Taawon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Taawon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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