Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Persis Solo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.95
No
63%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.8pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Persis Solo EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.35/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.77
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Persis Solo
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 8
5 Corners 7
13.12.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-1 HT 1-0 Persis Solo Persis Solo ENDL1
21.12.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 0-0 HT 0-0 Persis Solo Persis Solo ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Persis Solo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya nicked a narrow win over Persis Solo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Persebaya Surabaya made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.50 for Persis Solo.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Persis Solo?

Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Persis Solo in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persis Solo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 37%, draw 27%, Persis Solo 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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