Semen Padang 1-2 Barito Putera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
23%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.7pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
23%
Away Win
31%
-7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Semen Padang EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.00/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.35
-26% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
299 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Semen Padang
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Barito Putera
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
06.12.2019 Barito Putera Barito Putera 0-3 HT 0-1 Semen Padang Semen Padang ENDL1
01.09.2019 Semen Padang Semen Padang 2-3 HT 0-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
POST-MATCH Semen Padang vs Barito Putera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barito Putera squeezed past Semen Padang 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Semen Padang at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Semen Padang and 1.50 for Barito Putera.

What was the final score of Semen Padang vs Barito Putera?

Semen Padang 1-2 Barito Putera in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Semen Padang vs Barito Putera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Semen Padang win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Semen Padang 43%, draw 33%, Barito Putera 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Semen Padang), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Semen Padang) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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