Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
4-0
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
2-3
HT 1-0
Ajax
HOL
5-0
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-5
HT 0-3
Ajax
HOL
Ajax 5-0 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax cruised past Fortuna Sittard 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Ajax had 74% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 26%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 3.11 to 0.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Ajax and 0.67 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
Ajax 5-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ajax 56%, draw 23%, Fortuna Sittard 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.