Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v Fortuna Sittard — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
4-0
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
2-3
HT 1-0
Ajax
HOL
5-0
HT 2-0
Fortuna Sittard
HOL
0-5
HT 0-3
Ajax
HOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
Ajax 2-2 Fortuna Sittard — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax and Fortuna Sittard couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ajax at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Ajax had 72% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 28%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.65 to 1.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Ajax and 0.50 for Fortuna Sittard.
What was the final score of Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
Ajax 2-2 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Ajax 58%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 20%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.