PEC Zwolle 1-1 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.74
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.1
X/1
20%
3.78
X/2
6%
13.4
X/X
9%
6.92
2/1
6%
20.35
2/2
13%
9.69
2/X
5%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-11.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.76/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.93
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.4 Crosses 17.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Volendam
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.08 xG 0.92
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
405 Passes 233
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Volendam Volendam 0-5 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
08.07.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-2 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HAZ
28.07.2017 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 2-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HAZ
05.03.2012 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 1-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
16.09.2011 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-1 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL2
18.02.2011 Volendam Volendam 0-2 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-1
AWAY Volendam
2.90 xG 0.91
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
497 Passes 202
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
37 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle and Volendam shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was PEC Zwolle at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 66% of the ball to Volendam's 34%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.90 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.17 for Volendam.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Volendam?

PEC Zwolle 1-1 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 53%, draw 23%, Volendam 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
10 Mar 2024
14:15 AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Analysis →
16:30 Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Analysis →
18:45 NEC Nijmegen vs Heerenveen Analysis →
22:00 Feyenoord vs Heracles Analysis →