Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Albirex Niigata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 18 Sep 2024

Nagoya Grampus
3-0 HT 2-0
Albirex Niigata
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.24
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.04
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
17%
5.27
X/2
14%
5.3
X/X
14%
3.65
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
13%
4.08
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nagoya Grampus v Albirex Niigata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.19/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.98
-8% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +59%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
15.2 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2

Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 1.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
352 Passes 500
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
05.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-0 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
01.04.2023 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 1-3 HT 1-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
10.09.2016 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
24.04.2016 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 2-1 HT 1-0 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP
24.10.2015 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 4-2 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata JAP

Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Albirex Niigata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata
1.31 xG 2.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
278 Passes 548
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus swept aside Albirex Niigata 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nagoya Grampus found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 37% of the ball to Albirex Niigata's 63%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.31 to 2.14 — on chances, Albirex Niigata could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.83 for Albirex Niigata.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata?

Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Albirex Niigata in the Japan - J1 League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 37%, draw 27%, Albirex Niigata 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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