Kaisar 0-1 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.97
Over 2.5
39%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
47%
+14.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
53%
-14.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
0.71/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.52
-18% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +62%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Astana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 27
4 Shots on Target 13
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 1-1 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
20.08.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 1-1 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
30.04.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
23.04.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
19.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 5-1 HT 3-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZKK
17.10.2021 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana squeezed past Kaisar 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kaisar and 2.17 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs FC Astana?

Kaisar 0-1 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 22%, draw 29%, FC Astana 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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