Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 Hegelmann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann EU Bookmakers 62%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+22% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
183 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
1-2
AWAY Hegelmann
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann squeezed past Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hegelmann as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 54% of the ball to Hegelmann's 46%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann?

Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 Hegelmann in the Lithuania - Cup on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs Hegelmann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 24%, draw 25%, Hegelmann 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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