Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - Cup, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.49
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
63%
-16.9pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
24.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-3 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
18.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
28.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0-1
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai nicked a narrow win over Kauno Zalgiris 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 62% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 38%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.17 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai?

Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - Cup on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 46%, draw 30%, Banga Gargzdai 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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