Banga Gargzdai 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.75
Over 2.5
55%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 59%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-100% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -38%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.04.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-3 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
02.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
18.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
28.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
09.04.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai and Kauno Zalgiris shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 44% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 56%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.17 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Banga Gargzdai 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 27%, draw 24%, Kauno Zalgiris 49%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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