Kauno Zalgiris 0-3 Banga Gargzdai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.45
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
30%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
65%
-19.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
13%
+17.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 16%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.95/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.89
+12% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
07.10.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
18.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
28.05.2023 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
09.04.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
29.10.2022 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 HT 1-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
0-3
AWAY Banga Gargzdai
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai cruised past Kauno Zalgiris 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 62% of the ball to Banga Gargzdai's 38%, shots finished 22-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.50 for Banga Gargzdai.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai?

Kauno Zalgiris 0-3 Banga Gargzdai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga Gargzdai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 46%, draw 24%, Banga Gargzdai 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ BTTS No
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