TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 24 Apr 2024

📅24/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
24%
+10.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.0pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 52%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +132%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TransINVEST Vilnius
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
03.03.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-3 HT 1-1 TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen nicked a narrow win over TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hegelmann Litauen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hegelmann Litauen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split TransINVEST Vilnius 34%, draw 23%, Hegelmann Litauen 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hegelmann Litauen) ✗ BTTS No
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