Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 Wisla Pulawy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 28% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 31%
+14% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.76/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.55
+14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
03.11.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 2-2 HT 1-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
05.11.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-4 HT 0-2 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
16.07.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 0-1 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-2
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Wisla Pulawy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Pulawy edged past Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Jastrzebie Zdroj at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 49% of the ball to Wisla Pulawy's 51%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.50 for Wisla Pulawy.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Wisla Pulawy?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-2 Wisla Pulawy in the Poland - 2nd Division on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Wisla Pulawy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 45%, draw 27%, Wisla Pulawy 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✗ Under 2.5
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