Polonia Bytom 4-2 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.38
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
17%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 16%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
3.66/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.91
+76% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 3-1 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
19.08.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 3-0 HT 1-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
4-2
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom beat Zaglebie Lubin II 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 51% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Polonia Bytom and 2.00 for Zaglebie Lubin II.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Polonia Bytom 4-2 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 60%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin II 16%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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