IMT Novi Beograd 0-4 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
31%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.3pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.4pp
31%
Away Win
38%
-6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.11/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.38
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
18.2 Crosses 23.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.94 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
250 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 HT 1-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
18.01.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac HAZ
21.09.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
19.10.2022 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRBK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd
0-4
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1.29 xG 3.90
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
234 Passes 280
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac cruised past IMT Novi Beograd 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd had 48% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 52%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.29 to 3.90.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for IMT Novi Beograd and 0.75 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

IMT Novi Beograd 0-4 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd 35%, draw 33%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 31%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →