Samsunspor 2-0 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Sep 2024

Samsunspor
2-0 HT 0-0
Başakşehir FK
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Samsunspor vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.96
6+ Goals
11%
29.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.42 — our 37% vs market 34.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.94
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.31
X/2
15%
7.02
X/X
17%
3.81
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
8%
5.82
2/X
7%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Samsunspor v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.30/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.34
-20% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.9 Crosses 14.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Samsunspor vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.78 xG 0.71
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
220 Passes 470
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
22.10.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
11.01.2014 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-3 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
17.08.2013 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK T1L
29.01.2012 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-4 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
16.10.2011 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL

Samsunspor 2-0 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
2-0
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.96 xG 1.16
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
206 Passes 427
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor saw off Başakşehir FK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Samsunspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Samsunspor had 37% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 63%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.96 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Samsunspor and 1.67 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Samsunspor 2-0 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 40%, draw 31%, Başakşehir FK 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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