HB U19 1-2 Progrès Niederkorn U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 18 Sep 2024

HB U19
1-2
Progrès Niederkorn U19
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

HB U19 vs Progrès Niederkorn U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
4.0
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
28%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
16%
4.2
X/2
7%
7.68
X/X
10%
5.75
2/1 EV+
10%
21.45
2/2
16%
5.51
2/X
4%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB U19 v Progrès Niederkorn U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Progrès Niederkorn U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH HB U19 vs Progrès Niederkorn U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progrès Niederkorn U19 nicked a narrow win over HB U19 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was HB U19 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of HB U19 vs Progrès Niederkorn U19?

HB U19 1-2 Progrès Niederkorn U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB U19 vs Progrès Niederkorn U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a HB U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HB U19 49%, draw 21%, Progrès Niederkorn U19 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HB U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HB U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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