Sparta Prag U19 2-3 Salzburg U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.7pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
Crosses 15.8
Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag U19
2-3
AWAY Salzburg U19
1.28 xG 2.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
271 Passes 314
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag U19 vs Salzburg U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg U19 edged past Sparta Prag U19 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sparta Prag U19 had 46% of the ball to Salzburg U19's 54%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.28 to 2.30.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag U19 vs Salzburg U19?

Sparta Prag U19 2-3 Salzburg U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag U19 vs Salzburg U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag U19 34%, draw 23%, Salzburg U19 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg U19), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg U19) ✓ BTTS Yes
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