Dynamo Kiev 3-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-10.8pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 15%
-6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +34%
2.25/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.78
+11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
423 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
31.03.2024 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-5 HT 0-2 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
18.09.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
04.05.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
23.10.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-1 HT 1-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
06.11.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 1-2 HT 0-1 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
01.05.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-5 HT 1-3 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev beat Vorskla Poltava 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 1.00 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Vorskla Poltava?

Dynamo Kiev 3-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 58%, draw 24%, Vorskla Poltava 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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