Atletico Grau 2-0 Alianza Universidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.75
Over
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.07
No
48%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
35%
4-5
26%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau The Market 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Universidad The Market 20%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.59/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.72
-7% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
24.3 Crosses 13.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Alianza Universidad
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.04 xG 1.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
266 Passes 407
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
28.11.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
27.08.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
2-0
AWAY Alianza Universidad
0.80 xG 0.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
286 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Atletico Grau vs Alianza Universidad
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Grau had too much for Alianza Universidad 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Grau as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring. At 1.67 (~60%), the BTTS-no price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

The match data tells the story: Alianza Universidad saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.80 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Atletico Grau against 0.67 for Alianza Universidad.

Atletico Grau vs Alianza Universidad Result & Final Score

Atletico Grau 2-0 Alianza Universidad in the Peru - Premier League on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Grau vs Alianza Universidad Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 52%, draw 28%, Alianza Universidad 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Grau) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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