Neom SC 1-0 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
-0.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.3pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neom SC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
Crosses 16.5
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neom SC
1-0
AWAY Al Akhdoud
0.40 xG 0.19
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
413 Passes 239
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neom SC vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neom SC edged past Al Akhdoud 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neom SC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Neom SC had 60% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 40%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.40 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Neom SC vs Al Akhdoud?

Neom SC 1-0 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neom SC vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neom SC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Neom SC 63%, draw 18%, Al Akhdoud 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neom SC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neom SC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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