Al Kholood 2-1 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.65/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.56
+19% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
12.9 Crosses 15.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Damac FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.97 xG 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 Passes 244
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-3 HT 0-2 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
24.11.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
2-1
AWAY Damac FC
0.88 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
243 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood squeezed past Damac FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 45% of the ball to Damac FC's 55%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.88 to 1.38 — the balance of chances actually favoured Damac FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Damac FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Kholood and 2.50 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Damac FC?

Al Kholood 2-1 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 45%, draw 27%, Damac FC 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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