Al Kholood 1-3 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.66/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.65
+26% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
12.8 Crosses 15.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Damac FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.49 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
328 Passes 259
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
1-3
AWAY Damac FC
1.45 xG 1.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
345 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC beat Al Kholood 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Kholood at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 58% of the ball to Damac FC's 42%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.45 to 1.83.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Damac FC?

Al Kholood 1-3 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 48%, draw 23%, Damac FC 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Kholood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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