Al Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Fayha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 18 Apr 2025

Al Ahli Jeddah
5-0 HT 3-0
Al Fayha
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 24% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
71%
-19.8pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.5pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Fayha — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.42/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.70
-11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
33.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.4 Crosses 10.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Fayha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.05 xG 0.79
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
418 Passes 259
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 15
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.11.2024 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
14.12.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-4 HT 0-4 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
17.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
23.09.2021 Al Fayha Al Fayha 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
06.03.2020 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD

Al Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Fayha — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
5-0
AWAY Al Fayha
2.60 xG 0.09
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
410 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah cruised past Al Fayha 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli Jeddah as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 57% of the ball to Al Fayha's 43%, shots finished 17-2, expected goals 2.60 to 0.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli Jeddah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 0.50 for Al Fayha.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha?

Al Ahli Jeddah 5-0 Al Fayha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Fayha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 52%, draw 26%, Al Fayha 22%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah)
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