Monza vs Sassuolo Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Italy - Serie A, 18 Sep 2026

📅18/09/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.36
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.27 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
444 Passes 299
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Monza Monza 1-0 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
02.10.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
19.05.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTA
22.01.2023 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
PREVIEW Monza vs Sassuolo
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The probabilities here are as close as they come — a genuine coin-flip by our read.

Monza's home form is a worry — beaten in 5 of the last 5 in the league.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 4 meetings in our records, Monza have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.25 a game for Monza against 0.50 for Sassuolo.

Monza vs Sassuolo Kick-off Time

Monza play Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 18/09/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Monza vs Sassuolo Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Monza vs Sassuolo is an Sassuolo win at about 40% probability, priced 2.36 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Monza 32%, draw 28%, Sassuolo 40%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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