Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 Henan Jianye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.97
4-5 Goals
21%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
6.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.22 — our 26% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.41
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
25.5
X/1
19%
3.43
X/2
5%
24.0
X/X
9%
8.79
2/1
5%
23.15
2/2
5%
18.6
2/X
6%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
75%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Henan Jianye EU Bookmakers 11%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.80/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.27
+3% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +48%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
25.5 Crosses 14.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Henan Jianye
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 313
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-2 HT 0-2 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
16.09.2023 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 3-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
28.05.2023 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-1 HT 0-1 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
27.12.2022 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 1-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua ÇİN
04.10.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
03.01.2022 Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 3-0 HT 0-0 Henan Jianye Henan Jianye ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Shenhua
2-1
AWAY Henan Jianye
66% Ball Possession 34%
31 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 5
442 Passes 213
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Shenhua squeezed past Henan Jianye 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Shenhua as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shanghai Shenhua had 66% of the ball to Henan Jianye's 34%, shots finished 31-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Shenhua had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.00 for Henan Jianye.

What was the final score of Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

Shanghai Shenhua 2-1 Henan Jianye in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Jianye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Shenhua 65%, draw 20%, Henan Jianye 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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