Chengdu Qianbao 3-1 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.13
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
13%
12.15
X/1
16%
6.71
X/2
8%
5.38
X/X
5%
5.27
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
22%
3.03
2/X
5%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.96/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.24
-25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
16.9 Crosses 22.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.25 xG 1.03
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
270 Passes 407
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
22.05.2024 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
23.09.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
03.06.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 0-1 HT 0-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
05.01.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 4-0 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNK
10.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
29.09.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 3-0 HT 2-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3-1
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.95 xG 0.79
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 12
195 Passes 389
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao got the better of Shanghai Port 3-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chengdu Qianbao found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 37% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 63%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.95 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.67 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Port?

Chengdu Qianbao 3-1 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 40%, draw 24%, Shanghai Port 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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