Jihlava 1-1 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jihlava EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.36
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jihlava
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Varnsdorf
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Jihlava Jihlava 3-3 HT 1-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
08.10.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-3 HT 1-2 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
19.04.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 7-2 HT 2-1 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
16.09.2022 Jihlava Jihlava 1-2 HT 1-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
14.05.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-0 HT 0-0 Jihlava Jihlava ÇEK2
23.07.2021 Jihlava Jihlava 2-1 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jihlava
1-1
AWAY Varnsdorf
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Jihlava vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jihlava and Varnsdorf shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jihlava had 50% of the ball to Varnsdorf's 50%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jihlava and 2.67 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Jihlava vs Varnsdorf?

Jihlava 1-1 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jihlava vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jihlava win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jihlava 40%, draw 26%, Varnsdorf 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jihlava), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jihlava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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