Farsley AFC 0-3 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Oct 2024

Farsley AFC
0-3 HT 0-2
Spennymoor Town
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Farsley AFC vs Spennymoor Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.67
Over
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
36%
2.72
2-3
36%
1.77
4-5
17%
4.3
6+
11%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.72 — our 36% vs market 30.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Farsley AFC v Spennymoor Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town The Market 54%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -43%
0.99/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.78
-20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
206 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Farsley AFC vs Spennymoor Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Spennymoor Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
21.11.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
29.04.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
24.09.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-2 HT 2-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
05.03.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-2 HT 0-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
11.09.2021 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 6-0 HT 3-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON

Farsley AFC 0-3 Spennymoor Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
0-3
AWAY Spennymoor Town
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town cruised past Farsley AFC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 39% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 61%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Farsley AFC and 2.50 for Spennymoor Town.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Spennymoor Town?

Farsley AFC 0-3 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 28%, draw 28%, Spennymoor Town 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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