Spennymoor Town 3-1 Farsley AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.75
Over
36%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.93
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
17%
3.98
6+
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.93 — our 33% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.4pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
53%
+10.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
47%
-10.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.9pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsley AFC The Market 21%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
2.46/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.00
+33% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Farsley AFC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
29.04.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
24.09.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-2 HT 2-0 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
05.03.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 1-2 HT 0-2 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
11.09.2021 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 6-0 HT 3-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
06.10.2020 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
3-1
AWAY Farsley AFC
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Farsley AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spennymoor Town saw off Farsley AFC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 67% of the ball to Farsley AFC's 33%, shots finished 10-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Spennymoor Town and 0.83 for Farsley AFC.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Farsley AFC?

Spennymoor Town 3-1 Farsley AFC in the England - Conference on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Farsley AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 50%, draw 31%, Farsley AFC 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
1 Apr 2024
15:00 Weymouth vs Yeovil Analysis →
17:00 Taunton Town vs Bath City Analysis →
17:00 Tonbridge Angels vs Farnborough Analysis →
17:00 Kings Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Aveley vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
17:00 Hereford FC vs Buxton Analysis →